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Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Read the analysis >. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle - POLITICO After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Another battleground-state senator up in 2024, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) as well as a competitive general election. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. [103][104], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | CNN Politics Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01), and businessman Scott Mayer[151] are seen as potential Republican challengers.[152]. Incumbent Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was appointed to the Senate in January 2009 to fill the vacancy created by Hillary Clinton's resignation to become Secretary . West Virginia. [100], Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. Gallego. Every one of my decisions are made basically after talking to family, and some of my close friends who have been advising me over the years. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) ultimately won reelection, but the race was decided by fewer . Cardin's communications director, Sue Walitsky, tells The Associated Press that the 79-year-old plans to release a statement saying he will not seek reelection. In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025. [130], Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was re-elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. The 2024 Senate playing field starts to take shape - CNN [139] Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former San Antonio Mayor Julin Castro, U.S. Representative Colin Allred, state Senator Roland Gutierrez, and state Representative James Talarico are also considered possible Democratic candidates. 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia - Wikipedia [134][135][136][137], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. She has announced her intent to run for a fifth term. Margin; WY: John Barrasso: R: R+43.4: WV: ^ Excludes Nebraska seat with a special election in 2024, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. I know she will do the state of California proud as the only Black woman in the United States Senate. [44], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. Sen. Steve Daines convinced Trump can help GOP win the Senate - NBC News Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 'not planning' to run for Senate seat in 2024 -webkit-columns: 1; Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . [2][3] A third, Barbara Lee of Oakland, declared her campaign on February 21. [126] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has not ruled out seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. [43][42] Other important factors include geography, as Schiff and Porter both represent southern California while Lee represents northern California, and diversity, as a victory by Schiff would leave California with no female Senators for the first time since 1992 while a victory by Lee would make her the first black woman in the Senate since Harris left office in 2021. I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. The initial 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch [61], Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. 1. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. [105], Former Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election to be the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates . I am all in. Casey announced that he is running for a fourth term. [37] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries. [26], Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. On February 22, 2023, Tester announced he is running for a fourth term. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. Voters in Pennsylvania will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 5, 2024. [99], Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King. Click here for coverage of U.S. Senate elections in 2022. Top Senate targets for both parties in 2024 | Washington Examiner Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. This map reflects the current 2024 Senate ratings from Inside Elections. The eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | The Hill A total of 468 seats in the U.S. Congress (33 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for election on November 5, 2024. The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. Kunce lost in his 2022 bid for the Senate but is running again in 2024 in hopes of defeating Republican incumbent Sen . U.S. Congress elections, 2014. So, no decision.. [26], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. -webkit-columns: 3; Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast. Steve Daines, head of the committee in charge of electing Senate Republicans in 2024, has endorsed Donald Trump and believes he could be a huge asset in the elections. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. Senate GOP Election Chief Sees 2024 Map As Decade-Defining: Q&A Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. Others have gotten there. [31] U.S. Representative Jared Golden (ME-02) is considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. IE 11 is not supported. [36] As she was already 76 years old in January 2023, Lee reportedly pitched herself to donors as a transitional Senator who would serve only one term. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Email us. Carper, whos served in the Senate since 2001 and held statewide office since 1977, said he wants to talk to his wife and that the options are wide open on whether he runs again. Schwarzenegger is a Republican, but media speculated that he might run as an independent candidate. [120][121][122][123][124], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. As Democrats look to expand their 50-50 Senate majority in November, they have an even tougher election cycle on the horizon in 2024. The filing deadline is April 8, 2024. Background [ edit ] Arizona is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, voting for Donald Trump by 3.5 percentages points in 2016 and for Joe Biden by roughly 0.3 . No. January 24, 2023:Initial ratings. [133], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result.