10 Downing Street expects that opposition MPs will make a move to stop a no deal Brexit. The PM believes this will happen when Parliament returns on the second week of September. With the EU unlikely to respond. Only when the battle has played out. Likely at the end of September.
A government source tells Politic-Ed that the date will likely be 9 September. A week after Parliament returns. Boris Johnson may meet other EU leaders. Including Merkel and Macron. However Leo Varadkar will not attend. Not before the G7 summit in Biarritz, France. At the end of August.
However, 10 Downing Street is confident that the EU won’t do anything. Not until September has played out. And Britain shows their hand. The Eu has the upper hand. EU with leverage.
When an alliance of Tory and opposition MPs try to take no deal off the table. A no deal Brexit will not do great for the conservatives. And labour is already planning. A vote of no confidence.
The EU is adamant that the backstop is not up for renegotiation. And that‘s final. However the government source is hopeful. That 10 Downing Street can still get a deal. Even if Parliament can not prevent a no deal Brexit on 31 October.
Labour are planning a vote of no confidence. Collapsing the government. And setting up a temporary government. With the aim to extend Article 50. However Labour will not support a centrist candidate as temporary PM. Such as Ken Clarke. Or Yvette Cooper.
Some senior conservative MPs have flocked to the rebel side. Saying it is a “Very nuclear option.” And only a last resort. Given the backfire and lead to an election after a no deal Brexit.
If no confidence is invoked. MPs would have 14 days to form an alternative government. Otherwise a general election would be called. In this event, Dominic Cummings has threatened to charge ahead. With or without a deal. Scheduling the election days after Brexit. With a government shutdown.
Will a no confidence vote be issued to 10 Downing Street?
Likely. Corbyn is hell bent on stopping Brexit. So is the Labour Party. Much of the public are fed up of the conservatives. And Brexit. Corbyn will probably get a no confidence vote. He’s already planning for it. Dianne Abbott has indicated as much.
Is Brexit worth it?
Maybe. It’s a very politically driven question. Some say yes. Others no. Many of the people who voted out in 2016. Say that they would vote remain if they did it again. Politico Europe released an infographic.
Younger people tended to vote remain. Whereas older voted leave. Working class, working poor and rural communities voted leave. Whereas, the rich, business owners etc. voted remain.
Labour has previously talked about a second referendum. However, it’s unlikely that Brexit will be overturned. It’s just that way. Plus, Labour doesn’t have the power to call a second referendum.
However this will likely not happen. Simply due to British Law. Especially on timeframe. Time, Labour doesn’t have. Time Britain doesn’t have.
Is there a possibility that Article 50 will be extended?
It’s possible. But unlikely. The Conservative Party website claims that “There will be no extension to the Article 50 deadline.” It’s unlikely that the Conservatives will ask for an extension.
So the only likely possibility for an extension. Would come from a Labour Government. Coming from a no confidence vote. Or a general election.
Some people also hope that the Labour Government will stop Brexit. However this will be difficult. It is legal for the UK to do so. However, it would take a few things to complete.
Unilateral agreement. Each of the 27 countries in the EU. All need to agree. Need to agree that the UK can revoke Article 50. Parliament would also need to pass an act. To revoke Brexit.